20 states to face ICU bed shortages when COVID-19 peaks, analysis finds

The demand for hospital beds in the U.S. is projected to far exceed capacity by mid-April, according to an analysis from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle. 

The study presents estimates of predicted health service utilization and deaths due to COVID-19 for each state in the U.S. if social distancing measures are maintained. Researchers used state-level hospital capacity data, data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths from the World Health Organization, and observed COVID-19 utilization from select locations.

While peak demand for resources, namely hospital beds, ICU beds and ventilators, will occur at the national level by April 15, this varies by state. According to the model, 20 states will face a shortage of ICU beds when COVID-19 peaks. Below are the states expected to face a shortage and their projected COVID-19 peak dates.

Alaska
Projected peak date: April 17
ICU bed shortage: 100

Connecticut
Projected peak date: April 21
ICU bed shortage: 1,751  

Florida
Projected peak date: April 21
ICU bed shortage: 769

Georgia
Projected peak date: April 20
ICU bed shortage: 743

Hawaii
Projected peak date: April 12
ICU bed shortage: 66

Illinois
Projected peak date: April 16
ICU bed shortage: 722

Indiana
Projected peak date: April 17
ICU bed shortage: 159

Kentucky
Projected peak date: April 21
ICU bed shortage: 55

Maryland
Projected peak date: April 18
ICU bed shortage: 958

Massachusetts
Projected peak date: April 18
ICU bed shortage: 2,745

Michigan
Projected peak date: April 8
ICU bed shortage: 910

Nevada
Projected peak date: April 18
ICU bed shortage: 300

New Jersey
Projected peak date: April 15
ICU bed shortage: 4,527

New Mexico
Projected peak date: April 21
ICU bed shortage: 130

New York
Projected peak date: April 8
ICU bed shortage: 5,946

North Dakota
Projected peak date: April 17
ICU bed shortage: 102

Rhode Island
Projected peak date: April 27
ICU bed shortage: 293

Virginia
Projected peak date: April 20
ICU bed shortage: 231

Wisconsin
Projected peak date: April 17
ICU bed shortage: 130

Wyoming
Projected peak date: April 29
ICU bed shortage: 8

More articles on patient flow:
Washington hospital to reopen for COVID-19 response
Demand for hospital beds in US will peak by mid-April, analysis finds
Philadelphia hospital won't reopen to treat COVID-19 patients

 

 

 

© Copyright ASC COMMUNICATIONS 2020. Interested in LINKING to or REPRINTING this content? View our policies by clicking here.

 

Featured Webinars

Featured Whitepapers