When will AI beat humans? Maybe within 45 years, experts say

There's a 50 percent chance artificial intelligence will exceed human performance in all tasks within 45 years, according to a new study.

The researchers — led by Katja Grace of the U.K.-based University of Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute — surveyed 1,634 machine learning researchers about how they think AI stacks up against human beings in a variety of tasks. Twenty-one percent, or 352 researchers, responded.

Here's what year respondents predict AI will outperform humans for five tasks.

1. Translating languages: 2024

2. Driving a truck: 2027

3. Working in retail: 2031

4. Writing a best-selling book: 2049

5. Working as a surgeon: 2053

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