UPMC affiliate simulates measles outbreak using computer model

The University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health, affiliated with UPMC, has developed a computer simulation creating virtual measles outbreaks in cities across the country.

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The simulation helps uncover how an outbreak would affect cities given certain vaccination rates. The simulation was adapted from the Framework for Reconstructing Epidemiological Dynamics, a free online resource created at Pitt.

“FRED users can see on a map of any major metropolitan area in the U.S. how one case of measles can turn into a major outbreak or be quickly quashed, all depending on the vaccination rates of a community,” said Donald S. Burke, MD, dean of the University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health and UPMC-Jonas Salk Chair of Global Health. “Our hope is that people will use this to have informed discussions about the value of vaccination and its role in preventing epidemics.”

FRED was developed at Pitt’s Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study Center of Excellence and was supported by the National Institutes of Health’s National Institute of General Medical Sciences.

More articles on the measles outbreak:

US measles cases hit 170; new outbreak in Washington
Disneyland measles outbreak source ‘unlikely’ to be found
Proposal would pay physicians for vaccine counseling

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