Becker’s used CDC data on cancer cases reported in each state in 2021 and new diagnoses estimates from ACS for 2025 to calculate the projected growth rate in each state. Nine states are projected to see a jump of at least 20%.
Editor’s note: State estimates for 2025 cases may not equal the total for the U.S. due to rounding. The CDC advises caution when interpreting data from 2020 to 2021 due to pandemic-related disruptions to cancer screenings and reporting.
|
State |
Reported cases in 2021 |
New case estimates in 2025 |
Percent change |
|
Arkansas: |
15,479 |
19,700 |
27.27% |
|
Oregon: |
21,589 |
26,980 |
24.97% |
|
Massachusetts: |
35,253 |
44,000 |
24.81% |
|
Arizona: |
34,437 |
42,560 |
23.59% |
|
South Carolina: |
28,910 |
35,300 |
22.10% |
|
Delaware: |
6,295 |
7,680 |
22.00% |
|
Nevada: |
14,445 |
17,540 |
21.43% |
|
Wyoming: |
2,974 |
3,580 |
20.38% |
|
Nebraska: |
10,300 |
12,390 |
20.29% |
|
Virginia: |
42,412 |
50,510 |
19.09% |
|
Idaho: |
9,971 |
11,820 |
18.54% |
|
Michigan: |
55,710 |
66,040 |
18.54% |
|
Rhode Island: |
6,337 |
7,480 |
18.04% |
|
Pennsylvania: |
77,139 |
90,240 |
16.98% |
|
Florida: |
147,442 |
171,960 |
16.63% |
|
New Mexico: |
9,899 |
11,540 |
16.58% |
|
Texas: |
129,511 |
150,870 |
16.49% |
|
South Dakota: |
5,045 |
5,870 |
16.35% |
|
New Hampshire: |
8,886 |
10,290 |
15.80% |
|
Vermont: |
4,061 |
4,670 |
15.00% |
|
Colorado: |
25,385 |
29,020 |
14.32% |
|
North Carolina: |
62,489 |
71,320 |
14.13% |
|
Montana: |
6,655 |
7,560 |
13.60% |
|
Georgia: |
58,576 |
66,210 |
13.03% |
|
Hawaii: |
8,015 |
9,040 |
12.79% |
|
Oklahoma: |
21,407 |
24,120 |
12.67% |
|
Washington: |
41,272 |
46,500 |
12.67% |
|
Alaska: |
3,267 |
3,670 |
12.34% |
|
Missouri: |
35,092 |
39,220 |
11.76% |
|
Maine: |
9,952 |
11,080 |
11.33% |
|
California: |
180,858 |
199,980 |
10.57% |
|
Tennessee: |
38,668 |
42,750 |
10.56% |
|
Maryland: |
33,665 |
37,200 |
10.50% |
|
Louisiana: |
27,170 |
29,980 |
10.34% |
|
Minnesota: |
34,257 |
37,650 |
9.90% |
|
Wisconsin: |
36,420 |
39,940 |
9.67% |
|
Alabama: |
27,395 |
30,030 |
9.62% |
|
Illinois: |
72,620 |
78,870 |
8.61% |
|
North Dakota: |
4,195 |
4,510 |
7.51% |
|
Ohio: |
71,924 |
77,010 |
7.07% |
|
Utah: |
13,327 |
14,120 |
5.95% |
|
New Jersey: |
56,819 |
59,840 |
5.32% |
|
Kentucky: |
28,974 |
30,420 |
4.99% |
|
Iowa: |
20,367 |
21,340 |
4.78% |
|
West Virginia: |
12,647 |
13,250 |
4.77% |
|
Mississippi: |
17,177 |
17,820 |
3.74% |
|
New York: |
119,678 |
123,430 |
3.14% |
|
Connecticut: |
23,548 |
23,920 |
1.58% |
|
Kansas: |
15,835 |
15,810 |
-0.16% |
|
Indiana: |
Data not available |
42,150 |